Kaiserslautern II vs SGV Freiberg Statistics & Analysis

Kaiserslautern II

Aug 08, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.27

5 1.33

xG Accuracy: 26%

SGV Freiberg

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2814269

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result SGV Freiberg win · Kaiserslautern II 0–5 SGV Freiberg

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga Sudwest
Fixture: Kaiserslautern II vs SGV Freiberg
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Kaiserslautern II 1.27 — SGV Freiberg 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Sudwest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Kickers Offenbach	8	6	1	1	19
2	SGV Freiberg	8	5	3	0	18
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	5	1	2	16
4	FC 08 Homburg	8	4	2	2	14
5	Friburgo II	8	3	4	1	13
6	Eintracht Trier	8	4	1	3	13
7	FSV Francoforte	8	3	3	2	12
8	VfR Aalen	8	3	3	2	12
9	SV Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	12
10	VfR Mannheim	8	2	5	1	11
11	Hessen Kassel	8	3	1	4	10
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	10
13	TSV Steinbach	8	2	3	3	9
14	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	8
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	6
16	FSV Magonza 05 II	8	2	0	6	6
17	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	8	1	2	5	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	8	0	4	4	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	SGV Freiberg	8	22	7	+15	18
2	Kickers Offenbach	8	19	8	+11	19
3	Friburgo II	8	16	11	+5	13
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	15	11	+4	16
5	SV Sandhausen	9	15	19	-4	12
6	Hessen Kassel	8	14	15	-1	10
7	FSV Francoforte	8	13	9	+4	12
8	FC 08 Homburg	8	12	11	+1	14
9	TSV Steinbach	8	12	13	-1	9
10	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	8	12	16	-4	5
11	VfR Aalen	8	11	9	+2	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	11	12	-1	10
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	11	17	-6	6
14	SSV Ulm 1846	8	11	18	-7	4
15	Eintracht Trier	8	9	7	+2	13
16	VfR Mannheim	8	9	8	+1	11
17	FSV Magonza 05 II	8	8	18	-10	6
18	Kaiserslautern II	8	6	17	-11	8