Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Regionalliga Nordost / Hertha Berlino II vs Hallescher FC

Hertha Berlino II vs Hallescher FC Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.20
2 1.40
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5130716

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Hallescher FC win · Hertha Berlino II 0–2 Hallescher FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga Nordost
  • Fixture: Hertha Berlino II vs Hallescher FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Hertha Berlino II 1.2 — Hallescher FC 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga Nordost Regionalliga NordostClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7 5 2 0 17
2 Chemnitzer FC 7 5 2 0 17
3 Erzgebirge Aue 7 4 2 1 14
4 Magdeburg II 7 4 1 2 13
5 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 7 4 1 2 13
6 FSV Zwickau 7 4 1 2 13
7 Greifswalder FC 7 3 3 1 12
8 Altglienicke 7 3 3 1 12
9 Hallescher FC 7 3 3 1 12
10 BFC Dynamo 7 3 2 2 11
11 Lokomotive Lipsia 7 3 1 3 10
12 RSV Eintracht 7 1 3 3 6
13 SV Babelsberg 03 7 1 2 4 5
14 Hertha Berlino II 7 1 2 4 5
15 Tasmania Berlino 7 1 1 5 4
16 BFC Preussen 7 0 3 4 3
17 Luckenwalde 7 1 0 6 3
18 BSG Chemie Lipsia 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7 23 5 +18 17
2 Magdeburg II 7 17 12 +5 13
3 Chemnitzer FC 7 16 3 +13 17
4 Greifswalder FC 7 15 10 +5 12
5 Altglienicke 7 14 10 +4 12
6 Erzgebirge Aue 7 13 10 +3 14
7 Lokomotive Lipsia 7 13 13 0 10
8 RSV Eintracht 7 11 15 -4 6
9 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 7 10 5 +5 13
10 BFC Dynamo 7 10 8 +2 11
11 Hallescher FC 7 9 5 +4 12
12 SV Babelsberg 03 7 9 12 -3 5
13 FSV Zwickau 7 8 9 -1 13
14 Tasmania Berlino 7 8 22 -14 4
15 BFC Preussen 7 5 12 -7 3
16 Hertha Berlino II 7 5 15 -10 5
17 Luckenwalde 7 5 18 -13 3
18 BSG Chemie Lipsia 7 2 9 -7 2