Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke Statistics & Analysis

Greifswalder FC

Aug 07, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 57%

Altglienicke

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Greifswalder FC Altglienicke ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2676868

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Altglienicke win · Greifswalder FC 1–3 Altglienicke

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Nordost
Fixture: Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke
Kickoff: 2026-08-07 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Greifswalder FC 1.32 — Altglienicke 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nordost — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	11	8	3	0	27
2	Chemnitzer FC	11	8	2	1	26
3	Hallescher FC	11	6	4	1	22
4	BFC Dynamo	11	6	3	2	21
5	Altglienicke	11	6	3	2	21
6	Erzgebirge Aue	10	6	3	1	21
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	11	6	1	4	19
8	Greifswalder FC	11	5	4	2	19
9	Lokomotive Lipsia	11	4	3	4	15
10	FSV Zwickau	10	4	2	4	14
11	Magdeburg II	11	4	1	6	13
12	BFC Preussen	11	2	4	5	10
13	SV Babelsberg 03	10	2	3	5	9
14	Hertha Berlino II	10	2	2	6	8
15	BSG Chemie Lipsia	10	1	3	6	6
16	RSV Eintracht	11	1	3	7	6
17	Tasmania Berlino	11	1	2	8	5
18	Luckenwalde	10	1	0	9	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	11	36	11	+25	27
2	Chemnitzer FC	11	25	5	+20	26
3	Greifswalder FC	11	23	16	+7	19
4	Lokomotive Lipsia	11	23	23	0	15
5	BFC Dynamo	11	20	12	+8	21
6	Altglienicke	11	20	14	+6	21
7	Magdeburg II	11	20	23	-3	13
8	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	11	19	10	+9	19
9	Erzgebirge Aue	10	19	14	+5	21
10	Hallescher FC	11	18	9	+9	22
11	BFC Preussen	11	14	17	-3	10
12	RSV Eintracht	11	13	29	-16	6
13	Tasmania Berlino	11	13	36	-23	5
14	FSV Zwickau	10	12	16	-4	14
15	SV Babelsberg 03	10	11	15	-4	9
16	BSG Chemie Lipsia	10	10	16	-6	6
17	Hertha Berlino II	10	8	20	-12	8
18	Luckenwalde	10	7	25	-18	3