Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Regionalliga Nordost / BSG Chemie Lipsia vs Hallescher FC

BSG Chemie Lipsia vs Hallescher FC Statistics & Analysis

Aug 05, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.22
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2484186

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hallescher FC win · BSG Chemie Lipsia 0–1 Hallescher FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga Nordost
  • Fixture: BSG Chemie Lipsia vs Hallescher FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-05 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): BSG Chemie Lipsia 1.22 — Hallescher FC 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga Nordost Regionalliga Nordost — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 11 8 3 0 27
2 Chemnitzer FC 11 8 2 1 26
3 Hallescher FC 11 6 4 1 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 21
6 Erzgebirge Aue 10 6 3 1 21
7 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 11 6 1 4 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 19
9 Lokomotive Lipsia 11 4 3 4 15
10 FSV Zwickau 10 4 2 4 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 13
12 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 10
13 SV Babelsberg 03 10 2 3 5 9
14 Hertha Berlino II 10 2 2 6 8
15 BSG Chemie Lipsia 10 1 3 6 6
16 RSV Eintracht 11 1 3 7 6
17 Tasmania Berlino 11 1 2 8 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 11 36 11 +25 27
2 Chemnitzer FC 11 25 5 +20 26
3 Greifswalder FC 11 23 16 +7 19
4 Lokomotive Lipsia 11 23 23 0 15
5 BFC Dynamo 11 20 12 +8 21
6 Altglienicke 11 20 14 +6 21
7 Magdeburg II 11 20 23 -3 13
8 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 11 19 10 +9 19
9 Erzgebirge Aue 10 19 14 +5 21
10 Hallescher FC 11 18 9 +9 22
11 BFC Preussen 11 14 17 -3 10
12 RSV Eintracht 11 13 29 -16 6
13 Tasmania Berlino 11 13 36 -23 5
14 FSV Zwickau 10 12 16 -4 14
15 SV Babelsberg 03 10 11 15 -4 9
16 BSG Chemie Lipsia 10 10 16 -6 6
17 Hertha Berlino II 10 8 20 -12 8
18 Luckenwalde 10 7 25 -18 3