VfB Lübeck vs Todesfelde Statistics & Analysis

VfB Lübeck

Sep 25, 2026 - 17:30

3 1.45

2 1.15

xG Accuracy: 52%

Todesfelde

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 VfB Lübeck VfB Lübeck ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9572315

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result VfB Lübeck win · VfB Lübeck 3–2 Todesfelde

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Nord
Fixture: VfB Lübeck vs Todesfelde
Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): VfB Lübeck 1.45 — Todesfelde 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Schöningen	11	7	3	1	24
2	Phönix Lübeck	10	7	2	1	23
3	Weiche Flensburg	10	7	1	2	22
4	SV Drochtersen/Assel	11	7	1	3	22
5	VfB Oldenburg	10	7	1	2	22
6	Hannover 96 II	10	5	3	2	18
7	Kickers Emden	10	4	3	3	15
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	10	3	3	4	12
9	Werder Brema II	10	3	2	5	11
10	VfB Lübeck	11	2	5	4	11
11	St. Pauli II	10	3	1	6	10
12	SSV Jeddeloh	10	3	1	6	10
13	Hamburger SV II	10	3	1	6	10
14	Eintracht Norderstedt	10	2	4	4	10
15	HSC Hannover	10	2	4	4	10
16	Eimsbütteler TV	10	3	1	6	10
17	Bremer SV	10	2	2	6	8
18	Todesfelde	11	2	2	7	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	SV Drochtersen/Assel	11	33	16	+17	22
2	VfB Oldenburg	10	31	14	+17	22
3	Weiche Flensburg	10	30	12	+18	22
4	Kickers Emden	10	29	30	-1	15
5	Phönix Lübeck	10	28	6	+22	23
6	Hannover 96 II	10	21	14	+7	18
7	St. Pauli II	10	20	19	+1	10
8	Schöningen	11	19	15	+4	24
9	Eintracht Norderstedt	10	19	27	-8	10
10	Eimsbütteler TV	10	19	32	-13	10
11	Todesfelde	11	19	37	-18	8
12	Werder Brema II	10	16	18	-2	11
13	SSV Jeddeloh	10	16	21	-5	10
14	Hamburger SV II	10	15	22	-7	10
15	Atlas Delmenhorst	10	14	20	-6	12
16	VfB Lübeck	11	14	21	-7	11
17	HSC Hannover	10	14	24	-10	10
18	Bremer SV	10	9	18	-9	8