Todesfelde vs Werder Brema II Statistics & Analysis

Todesfelde

Aug 09, 2026 - 12:00

3 1.20

3 1.40

xG Accuracy: 39%

Werder Brema II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Werder Brema II Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2962389

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Todesfelde 3–3 Werder Brema II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Nord
Fixture: Todesfelde vs Werder Brema II
Kickoff: 2026-08-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Todesfelde 1.2 — Werder Brema II 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Weiche Flensburg	8	7	1	0	22
2	Schöningen	8	6	2	0	20
3	VfB Oldenburg	8	6	1	1	19
4	Phönix Lübeck	8	5	2	1	17
5	SV Drochtersen/Assel	8	5	0	3	15
6	Hannover 96 II	8	4	2	2	14
7	Kickers Emden	8	3	3	2	12
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	8	3	2	3	11
9	Eintracht Norderstedt	7	2	3	2	9
10	HSC Hannover	8	2	3	3	9
11	Eimsbütteler TV	8	3	0	5	9
12	Todesfelde	7	2	2	3	8
13	Hamburger SV II	8	2	1	5	7
14	Bremer SV	7	1	2	4	5
15	Werder Brema II	8	1	2	5	5
16	St. Pauli II	7	1	1	5	4
17	VfB Lübeck	8	0	4	4	4
18	SSV Jeddeloh	8	1	1	6	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Weiche Flensburg	8	28	8	+20	22
2	VfB Oldenburg	8	26	11	+15	19
3	Kickers Emden	8	22	22	0	12
4	SV Drochtersen/Assel	8	21	11	+10	15
5	Phönix Lübeck	8	17	5	+12	17
6	Hannover 96 II	8	16	11	+5	14
7	Todesfelde	7	16	20	-4	8
8	Eimsbütteler TV	8	16	27	-11	9
9	Schöningen	8	14	6	+8	20
10	Eintracht Norderstedt	7	14	14	0	9
11	Atlas Delmenhorst	8	13	14	-1	11
12	St. Pauli II	7	12	18	-6	4
13	HSC Hannover	8	11	17	-6	9
14	Hamburger SV II	8	11	19	-8	7
15	SSV Jeddeloh	8	8	20	-12	4
16	Werder Brema II	8	7	14	-7	5
17	VfB Lübeck	8	7	16	-9	4
18	Bremer SV	7	6	12	-6	5