Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Regionalliga - Bayern / FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf

FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf Statistics & Analysis

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 FC Schweinfurt 05 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698159

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 Eltersdorf
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - Bayern
  • Fixture: FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Eltersdorf
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): FC Schweinfurt 05 1.31 — Eltersdorf 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 27.4% · Probability edge: +24.4 pts · Est. EV: +73.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Bayern Regionalliga - Bayern — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 24
3 Eichstätt 12 6 3 3 21
4 TSV 1860 Monaco 11 5 5 1 20
5 SpVgg Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 18
7 Wacker Burghausen 12 5 2 5 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 16
10 Bayern Monaco II 11 4 3 4 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 15
13 Norimberga II 11 4 1 6 13
14 FC Schweinfurt 05 11 3 3 5 12
15 Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 12
16 Greuther Fürth II 11 3 2 6 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10
18 Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Wacker Burghausen 12 27 20 +7 17
2 Buchbach 12 25 11 +14 27
3 TSV 1860 Monaco 11 24 13 +11 20
4 Bayreuth 12 22 18 +4 16
5 Norimberga II 11 21 17 +4 13
6 Illertissen 11 20 15 +5 18
7 Vilzing 11 18 18 0 16
8 Augsburg II 12 18 26 -8 15
9 Eltersdorf 11 17 16 +1 15
10 FC Schweinfurt 05 11 16 24 -8 12
11 SpVgg Unterhaching 11 15 10 +5 20
12 Eichstätt 12 15 15 0 21
13 Greuther Fürth II 11 15 18 -3 11
14 Memmingen 12 14 7 +7 24
15 Bayern Monaco II 11 14 12 +2 15
16 Aubstadt 11 14 20 -6 8
17 Schwaben Augsburg 12 14 23 -9 12
18 Landsberg 11 10 21 -11 7
19 Ansbach 11 10 25 -15 10