Memmingen vs Buchbach Statistics & Analysis

Memmingen

Sep 25, 2026 - 17:00

0 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 64%

Buchbach

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Memmingen Buchbach ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9569879

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Buchbach win · Memmingen 0–1 Buchbach

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga - Bayern
Fixture: Memmingen vs Buchbach
Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Memmingen 1.39 — Buchbach 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga - Bayern — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Buchbach	10	8	2	0	26
2	Memmingen	11	6	3	2	21
3	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	18
4	SpVgg Unterhaching	9	5	3	1	18
5	Eichstätt	11	5	3	3	18
6	Wacker Burghausen	11	5	2	4	17
7	TSV 1860 Monaco	10	4	5	1	17
8	Vilzing	10	4	4	2	16
9	Augsburg II	11	4	3	4	15
10	Bayern Monaco II	10	4	2	4	14
11	Bayreuth	11	4	1	6	13
12	Eltersdorf	10	3	3	4	12
13	FC Schweinfurt 05	10	3	2	5	11
14	Norimberga II	10	3	1	6	10
15	Greuther Fürth II	10	3	1	6	10
16	Ansbach	10	3	1	6	10
17	Schwaben Augsburg	11	2	3	6	9
18	Aubstadt	10	2	2	6	8
19	Landsberg	10	1	4	5	7

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Wacker Burghausen	11	27	19	+8	17
2	Buchbach	10	23	7	+16	26
3	TSV 1860 Monaco	10	20	13	+7	17
4	Illertissen	11	20	15	+5	18
5	Norimberga II	10	18	17	+1	10
6	Augsburg II	11	18	23	-5	15
7	Vilzing	10	17	15	+2	16
8	Bayreuth	11	17	18	-1	13
9	Eltersdorf	10	15	16	-1	12
10	FC Schweinfurt 05	10	15	23	-8	11
11	Eichstätt	11	14	15	-1	18
12	Greuther Fürth II	10	14	17	-3	10
13	Aubstadt	10	14	19	-5	8
14	Memmingen	11	13	7	+6	21
15	Bayern Monaco II	10	13	11	+2	14
16	SpVgg Unterhaching	9	12	7	+5	18
17	Schwaben Augsburg	11	11	22	-11	9
18	Landsberg	10	10	16	-6	7
19	Ansbach	10	10	21	-11	10