Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Regionalliga - Bayern / Vilzing vs Ansbach

Vilzing vs Ansbach Statistics & Analysis

Vilzing Vilzing
Sep 15, 2026 - 16:30
1 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 85%
Ansbach Ansbach
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Vilzing Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7702602

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Vilzing 1–1 Ansbach
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga - Bayern
  • Fixture: Vilzing vs Ansbach
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Vilzing 1.35 — Ansbach 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Bayern Regionalliga - Bayern — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 21
3 TSV 1860 Monaco 9 4 5 0 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17
5 SpVgg Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 17
6 Eichstätt 10 5 2 3 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 15
8 Wacker Burghausen 10 4 2 4 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 12
11 Bayern Monaco II 9 3 2 4 11
12 FC Schweinfurt 05 10 3 2 5 11
13 Norimberga II 9 3 1 5 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 10
15 Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 9
16 Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 8
17 Greuther Fürth II 9 2 1 6 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 7
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Wacker Burghausen 10 24 18 +6 14
2 Buchbach 9 22 7 +15 23
3 TSV 1860 Monaco 9 19 10 +9 17
4 Illertissen 10 17 12 +5 17
5 Norimberga II 9 17 15 +2 10
6 Augsburg II 10 15 23 -8 12
7 FC Schweinfurt 05 10 15 23 -8 11
8 Vilzing 9 14 12 +2 15
9 Aubstadt 9 14 16 -2 8
10 Memmingen 10 13 6 +7 21
11 Eltersdorf 9 13 12 +1 12
12 Eichstätt 10 13 14 -1 17
13 Bayreuth 10 13 16 -3 10
14 Greuther Fürth II 9 12 16 -4 7
15 SpVgg Unterhaching 8 11 6 +5 17
16 Bayern Monaco II 9 9 8 +1 11
17 Landsberg 9 9 14 -5 7
18 Schwaben Augsburg 10 8 18 -10 9
19 Ansbach 9 8 20 -12 7
Regionalliga - Bayern Germania. Regionalliga - Bayern Pronostici