Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. Division 1 Féminine / Lens W vs Tolosa Femminile

Lens W vs Tolosa Femminile Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
2 0.80
2 0.95
xG Accuracy: 54%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8702065

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Lens W 2–2 Tolosa Femminile
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Division 1 Féminine
  • Fixture: Lens W vs Tolosa Femminile
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.5% · Draw 36.8% · Away 35.7%
  • xG (showing): Lens W 0.8 — Tolosa Femminile 0.95 (total xG ≈ 1.75)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 1 Féminine Division 1 Féminine — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lione W 3 3 0 0 9
2 Paris Saint-Germain Femminile 3 3 0 0 9
3 Marsiglia W 3 2 1 0 7
4 Paris FC Femminile 3 2 0 1 6
5 Montpellier W 3 1 1 1 4
6 FC Fleury 91 W 3 1 1 1 4
7 Strasburgo Femminile 3 1 0 2 3
8 Le Havre W 3 1 0 2 3
9 Saint-Malo Femminile 3 1 0 2 3
10 Lens W 3 0 1 2 1
11 Tolosa Femminile 3 0 1 2 1
12 Nantes W 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lione W 3 22 3 +19 9
2 Paris Saint-Germain Femminile 3 5 0 +5 9
3 Montpellier W 3 5 2 +3 4
4 Paris FC Femminile 3 5 7 -2 6
5 FC Fleury 91 W 3 4 8 -4 4
6 Tolosa Femminile 3 4 9 -5 1
7 Marsiglia W 3 3 1 +2 7
8 Saint-Malo Femminile 3 3 5 -2 3
9 Strasburgo Femminile 3 3 6 -3 3
10 Lens W 3 3 6 -3 1
11 Le Havre W 3 3 10 -7 3
12 Nantes W 3 1 4 -3 1
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Lione W 3 1.4 0.3 +1.1 9
2 FC Fleury 91 W 3 0.3 1.4 -1.1 4
3 Paris Saint-Germain Femminile 3 — — — 9
4 Marsiglia W 3 — — — 7
5 Paris FC Femminile 3 — — — 6
6 Montpellier W 3 — — — 4
7 Strasburgo Femminile 3 — — — 3
8 Le Havre W 3 — — — 3
9 Saint-Malo Femminile 3 — — — 3
10 Lens W 3 — — — 1
11 Tolosa Femminile 3 — — — 1
12 Nantes W 3 — — — 1