FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen Statistics & Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04

Oct 17, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.42

0 1.82

xG Accuracy: 54%

Rot-Weiß Essen

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Rot-Weiß Essen FC Ingolstadt 04 ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 1-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 12, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-15125576

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FC Ingolstadt 04 win · FC Ingolstadt 04 1–0 Rot-Weiß Essen

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. Liga
Fixture: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen
Kickoff: 2026-10-17 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 25.5% · Away 45.7%
xG (showing): FC Ingolstadt 04 1.42 — Rot-Weiß Essen 1.82 (total xG ≈ 3.24)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.4%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 37.2% · Over 2.5 62.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 64.9% · No 35.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 64.9% · No 35.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Esplora Altri Contenuti di Previsioni

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per FC Ingolstadt 04 & Rot-Weiß Essen!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora

Torna alle Statistiche

3. Liga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	MSV Duisburg	9	8	0	1	24
2	FC Viktoria Colonia	9	6	1	2	19
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	9	5	3	1	18
4	Hansa Rostock	9	4	3	2	15
5	FC Saarbrücken	9	4	2	3	14
6	Fortuna Düsseldorf	9	4	2	3	14
7	Hoffenheim II	9	4	1	4	13
8	Waldhof Mannheim	9	4	1	4	13
9	Preußen Münster	9	3	3	3	12
10	Verl	9	3	3	3	12
11	Stuttgart II	9	3	2	4	11
12	Alemannia Aachen	9	3	2	4	11
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	3	2	4	11
14	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	9	3	2	4	11
15	Fortuna Colonia	9	2	4	3	10
16	SV Meppen	9	3	1	5	10
17	SSV Jahn Regensburg	9	2	3	4	9
18	SG Sonnenhof Großaspach	9	2	3	4	9
19	Würzburger Kickers	9	2	2	5	8
20	Havelse	9	1	2	6	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	MSV Duisburg	9	26	11	+15	24
2	FC Viktoria Colonia	9	26	13	+13	19
3	FC Saarbrücken	9	21	16	+5	14
4	SSV Jahn Regensburg	9	20	19	+1	9
5	Rot-Weiß Essen	9	18	12	+6	18
6	Hoffenheim II	9	18	14	+4	13
7	Hansa Rostock	9	17	17	0	15
8	Waldhof Mannheim	9	16	14	+2	13
9	Preußen Münster	9	16	18	-2	12
10	Stuttgart II	9	16	18	-2	11
11	Verl	9	14	17	-3	12
12	Alemannia Aachen	9	13	16	-3	11
13	Würzburger Kickers	9	13	19	-6	8
14	FC Ingolstadt 04	9	12	15	-3	11
15	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	9	12	15	-3	11
16	Havelse	9	12	22	-10	5
17	SV Meppen	9	11	16	-5	10
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	9	10	10	0	14
19	SG Sonnenhof Großaspach	9	9	16	-7	9
20	Fortuna Colonia	9	8	10	-2	10