Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera Statistics & Analysis

Tauro FC

Aug 29, 2026 - 01:30

2 1.24

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 74%

Independiente de La Chorrera

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Independiente de La Chorrera Tauro FC ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5117611

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tauro FC win · Tauro FC 2–1 Independiente de La Chorrera

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Fixture: Tauro FC vs Independiente de La Chorrera
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 01:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Tauro FC 1.24 — Independiente de La Chorrera 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Panameña de Fútbol — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Plaza Amador	16	9	4	3	31
2	Alianza FC	16	6	9	1	27
3	UMECIT	16	6	7	3	25
4	Veraguas	16	7	4	5	25
5	Union Coclé	16	5	8	3	23
6	Tauro FC	16	5	6	5	21
7	CD Árabe Unido	16	6	3	7	21
8	Independiente de La Chorrera	16	4	8	4	20
9	San Francisco FC	16	5	5	6	20
10	Sporting San Miguelito	16	4	6	6	18
11	Deportivo Universitario	16	3	5	8	14
12	Herrera	16	1	5	10	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Plaza Amador	16	28	16	+12	31
2	UMECIT	16	28	20	+8	25
3	Alianza FC	16	26	20	+6	27
4	Veraguas	16	26	23	+3	25
5	Tauro FC	16	22	19	+3	21
6	San Francisco FC	16	22	25	-3	20
7	Sporting San Miguelito	16	19	21	-2	18
8	Deportivo Universitario	16	19	27	-8	14
9	Independiente de La Chorrera	16	18	14	+4	20
10	Union Coclé	16	16	11	+5	23
11	CD Árabe Unido	16	16	20	-4	21
12	Herrera	16	13	37	-24	8