Braine vs Union Namur Statistics & Analysis

Sep 26, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.33
2 1.27
xG Accuracy: 75%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Braine Union Namur ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10117507

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Union Namur win · Braine 1–2 Union Namur
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF
  • Fixture: Braine vs Union Namur
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Braine 1.33 — Union Namur 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Jette 6 4 2 0 14
2 Ganshoren 6 4 1 1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 4 1 1 13
4 Braine 6 4 0 2 12
5 Stade Verviers 6 3 2 1 11
6 Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 11
7 AS Eupen II 6 3 2 1 11
8 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 10
9 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 3 1 2 10
10 Richelle United 6 3 0 3 9
11 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 9
12 Huy 6 2 2 2 8
13 RUS Binche 6 2 2 2 8
14 Stockay-Warfusée 7 2 2 3 8
15 Acren-Lessines 6 1 1 4 4
16 Union Namur 6 1 1 4 4
17 Entité Manageoise 7 0 2 5 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ganshoren 6 19 10 +9 13
2 Stade Mouscronnois 7 17 14 +3 11
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 16 9 +7 13
4 AS Eupen II 6 16 13 +3 11
5 Jette 6 14 6 +8 14
6 Stade Verviers 6 13 6 +7 11
7 Richelle United 6 13 11 +2 9
8 La Calamine 7 12 10 +2 10
9 RUS Binche 6 12 15 -3 8
10 Ostiches 7 10 11 -1 9
11 Entité Manageoise 7 10 19 -9 2
12 Braine 6 9 5 +4 12
13 Acren-Lessines 6 9 12 -3 4
14 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 7 8 -1 10
15 Huy 6 7 9 -2 8
16 Stockay-Warfusée 7 6 9 -3 8
17 Union Namur 6 4 14 -10 4
18 Aywaille 7 3 16 -13 1