Ostiches vs Ganshoren Statistics & Analysis

Sep 05, 2026 - 17:30
2 1.23
2 1.37
xG Accuracy: 68%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Ganshoren Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 04:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6164826

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Ostiches 2–2 Ganshoren
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF
  • Fixture: Ostiches vs Ganshoren
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Ostiches 1.23 — Ganshoren 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF Seconda Divisione Amatoriale ACFF — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 5 4 0 1 12
2 Jette 5 3 2 0 11
3 Stade Verviers 5 3 1 1 10
4 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 4 3 1 0 10
5 Braine 4 3 0 1 9
6 AS Eupen II 4 2 2 0 8
7 Ganshoren 4 2 1 1 7
8 La Calamine 5 2 1 2 7
9 Ostiches 4 2 1 1 7
10 Richelle United 5 2 0 3 6
11 Huy 4 2 0 2 6
12 Stade Mouscronnois 5 1 2 2 5
13 Stockay-Warfusée 5 1 2 2 5
14 RUS Binche 4 1 1 2 4
15 Entité Manageoise 4 0 2 2 2
16 Acren-Lessines 4 0 1 3 1
17 Union Namur 5 0 1 4 1
18 Aywaille 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 5 14 7 +7 12
2 Stade Verviers 5 12 5 +7 10
3 Jette 5 12 6 +6 11
4 Ganshoren 4 12 8 +4 7
5 AS Eupen II 4 11 5 +6 8
6 Stade Mouscronnois 5 10 12 -2 5
7 La Calamine 5 9 7 +2 7
8 Richelle United 5 9 11 -2 6
9 RUS Binche 4 9 14 -5 4
10 Ostiches 4 7 7 0 7
11 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 4 6 2 +4 10
12 Braine 4 6 2 +4 9
13 Acren-Lessines 4 5 8 -3 1
14 Huy 4 4 6 -2 6
15 Stockay-Warfusée 5 4 6 -2 5
16 Entité Manageoise 4 4 9 -5 2
17 Aywaille 4 3 11 -8 0
18 Union Namur 5 2 13 -11 1