Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / Young Boys Reutlingen vs Karlsruhe II

Young Boys Reutlingen vs Karlsruhe II Statistics & Analysis

Sep 04, 2026 - 16:30
2 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 68%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Young Boys Reutlingen Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5914636

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Young Boys Reutlingen 2–2 Karlsruhe II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
  • Fixture: Young Boys Reutlingen vs Karlsruhe II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Young Boys Reutlingen 1.36 — Karlsruhe II 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Oberachern 9 6 2 1 20
2 Reutlingen 8 6 1 1 19
3 Backnang 9 5 3 1 18
4 FC 08 Villingen 8 5 1 2 16
5 1. FC Muhlhausen 8 5 1 2 16
6 Young Boys Reutlingen 7 4 2 1 14
7 FC Holzhausen 9 4 2 3 14
8 Bahlinger SC 9 3 5 1 14
9 Balingen 9 3 3 3 12
10 CFR Pforzheim 8 3 2 3 11
11 FV Ravensburg 8 2 4 2 10
12 Karlsruhe II 9 2 4 3 10
13 Teningen 8 3 0 5 9
14 Türkspor Neckarsulm 8 3 0 5 9
15 Essingen 9 2 3 4 9
16 TSV Singen 8 2 1 5 7
17 FC Nöttingen 9 1 0 8 3
18 Normannia Gmünd 9 0 0 9 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Backnang 9 22 11 +11 18
2 1. FC Muhlhausen 8 21 18 +3 16
3 Oberachern 9 19 8 +11 20
4 FC 08 Villingen 8 19 10 +9 16
5 Young Boys Reutlingen 7 17 11 +6 14
6 Reutlingen 8 16 9 +7 19
7 CFR Pforzheim 8 15 12 +3 11
8 FC Holzhausen 9 15 13 +2 14
9 Balingen 9 15 13 +2 12
10 Bahlinger SC 9 14 13 +1 14
11 Karlsruhe II 9 14 17 -3 10
12 Teningen 8 14 18 -4 9
13 FC Nöttingen 9 11 19 -8 3
14 FV Ravensburg 8 10 10 0 10
15 Essingen 9 10 16 -6 9
16 Türkspor Neckarsulm 8 9 14 -5 9
17 TSV Singen 8 8 15 -7 7
18 Normannia Gmünd 9 5 27 -22 0