Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione / Novo Esporte Clube vs Nacional AC MG

Novo Esporte Clube vs Nacional AC MG Statistics & Analysis

Novo Esporte Clube Novo Esporte Clube
Oct 10, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 64%
Nacional AC MG Nacional AC MG
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Novo Esporte Clube Novo Esporte Clube ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13250363

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Novo Esporte Clube win · Novo Esporte Clube 1–0 Nacional AC MG
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione
  • Fixture: Novo Esporte Clube vs Nacional AC MG
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Novo Esporte Clube 1.34 — Nacional AC MG 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Venda Nova 4 3 1 0 10
1 Betim 2 4 4 0 0 12
2 Nacional AC MG 4 3 0 1 9
2 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 9
3 Novo Esporte Clube 4 2 1 1 7
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 6
4 Nova Lavras 4 2 0 2 6
4 Funorte 4 1 1 2 4
5 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 3
5 Araxá 4 1 0 3 3
6 Santarritense 4 0 0 4 0
6 Siderurgica 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nova Lavras 4 18 4 +14 6
2 Venda Nova 4 13 1 +12 10
3 Paracatu 4 10 2 +8 9
4 Inter de Minas 4 8 7 +1 3
5 Betim 2 4 6 0 +6 12
6 Nacional AC MG 4 6 2 +4 9
7 Araxá 4 4 5 -1 3
8 Sao Joao del Rei 4 3 2 +1 6
9 Novo Esporte Clube 4 3 4 -1 7
10 Funorte 4 3 8 -5 4
11 Siderurgica 4 2 11 -9 1
12 Santarritense 4 1 31 -30 0
Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione Brasile. Campionato Mineiro - Terza Divisione Pronostici