Statistiche / Calcio / Danimarca. Kvindeliga Danese / Nordsjælland vs Køge

Nordsjælland vs Køge Statistics & Analysis

Nordsjælland Nordsjælland
Oct 04, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.26
2 1.34
xG Accuracy: 68%
Køge Køge
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Køge Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11663813

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Nordsjælland 2–2 Køge
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Kvindeliga Danese
  • Fixture: Nordsjælland vs Køge
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Nordsjælland 1.26 — Køge 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Kvindeliga Danese Kvindeliga Danese — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Køge 10 8 1 1 25
2 Nordsjælland 10 6 3 1 21
3 Brøndby IF 10 6 2 2 20
4 Fortuna Hjørring 10 5 2 3 17
5 Midtjylland W 10 5 2 3 17
6 ASA Aarhus W 10 4 1 5 13
7 KoldingQ 10 4 0 6 12
8 Odense Q 10 3 1 6 10
9 FC Copenhagen W 10 2 0 8 6
10 AGF Aarhus 10 1 0 9 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nordsjælland 10 32 12 +20 21
2 Køge 10 30 11 +19 25
3 Brøndby IF 10 25 8 +17 20
4 Fortuna Hjørring 10 23 12 +11 17
5 KoldingQ 10 20 29 -9 12
6 Midtjylland W 10 15 13 +2 17
7 ASA Aarhus W 10 12 19 -7 13
8 FC Copenhagen W 10 12 33 -21 6
9 AGF Aarhus 10 7 24 -17 3
10 Odense Q 10 6 21 -15 10