Statistiche / Calcio / Danimarca. Kvindeliga Danese / Køge vs Midtjylland W

Køge vs Midtjylland W Statistics & Analysis

Køge Køge
Sep 19, 2026 - 11:00
4 1.48
0 1.12
xG Accuracy: 37%
Midtjylland W Midtjylland W
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Køge Køge ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8660116

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Køge win · Køge 4–0 Midtjylland W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Kvindeliga Danese
  • Fixture: Køge vs Midtjylland W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
  • xG (showing): Køge 1.48 — Midtjylland W 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Kvindeliga Danese Kvindeliga Danese — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Køge 9 8 0 1 24
2 Nordsjælland 9 6 2 1 20
3 Brøndby IF 9 5 2 2 17
4 Fortuna Hjørring 9 4 2 3 14
5 Midtjylland W 8 4 2 2 14
6 ASA Aarhus W 9 3 1 5 10
7 KoldingQ 9 3 0 6 9
8 Odense Q 8 2 1 5 7
9 FC Copenhagen W 8 2 0 6 6
10 AGF Aarhus 8 1 0 7 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nordsjælland 9 30 10 +20 20
2 Køge 9 28 9 +19 24
3 Brøndby IF 9 23 7 +16 17
4 Fortuna Hjørring 9 20 12 +8 14
5 KoldingQ 9 18 28 -10 9
6 Midtjylland W 8 13 12 +1 14
7 ASA Aarhus W 9 11 19 -8 10
8 FC Copenhagen W 8 11 29 -18 6
9 AGF Aarhus 8 6 21 -15 3
10 Odense Q 8 5 18 -13 7
Kvindeliga Danese Danimarca. Kvindeliga Danese Pronostici