Midtjylland W vs AGF Aarhus Statistics & Analysis

Midtjylland W

Sep 05, 2026 - 11:00

2 1.24

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 74%

AGF Aarhus

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 AGF Aarhus Midtjylland W ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6128635

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Midtjylland W win · Midtjylland W 2–1 AGF Aarhus

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Kvindeliga Danese
Fixture: Midtjylland W vs AGF Aarhus
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Midtjylland W 1.24 — AGF Aarhus 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Kvindeliga Danese — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Køge	7	6	0	1	18
2	Midtjylland W	6	4	2	0	14
3	Nordsjælland	6	4	1	1	13
4	Fortuna Hjørring	7	4	1	2	13
5	Brøndby IF	7	3	2	2	11
6	ASA Aarhus W	7	3	0	4	9
7	KoldingQ	7	2	0	5	6
8	Odense Q	7	2	0	5	6
9	FC Copenhagen W	7	2	0	5	6
10	AGF Aarhus	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Nordsjælland	6	23	8	+15	13
2	Køge	7	20	8	+12	18
3	Fortuna Hjørring	7	19	7	+12	13
4	Brøndby IF	7	16	7	+9	11
5	Midtjylland W	6	12	4	+8	14
6	KoldingQ	7	11	22	-11	6
7	ASA Aarhus W	7	10	15	-5	9
8	FC Copenhagen W	7	9	23	-14	6
9	AGF Aarhus	7	6	19	-13	3
10	Odense Q	7	4	17	-13	6