Statistiche / Calcio / Danimarca. Kvindeliga Danese / ASA Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjørring

ASA Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjørring Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.15
1 1.45
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Fortuna Hjørring ASA Aarhus W ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5126808

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result ASA Aarhus W win · ASA Aarhus W 2–1 Fortuna Hjørring
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Kvindeliga Danese
  • Fixture: ASA Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjørring
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): ASA Aarhus W 1.15 — Fortuna Hjørring 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Kvindeliga Danese Kvindeliga DaneseClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Køge 7 6 0 1 18
2 Midtjylland W 6 4 2 0 14
3 Nordsjælland 6 4 1 1 13
4 Fortuna Hjørring 7 4 1 2 13
5 Brøndby IF 7 3 2 2 11
6 ASA Aarhus W 7 3 0 4 9
7 KoldingQ 7 2 0 5 6
8 Odense Q 7 2 0 5 6
9 FC Copenhagen W 7 2 0 5 6
10 AGF Aarhus 7 1 0 6 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nordsjælland 6 23 8 +15 13
2 Køge 7 20 8 +12 18
3 Fortuna Hjørring 7 19 7 +12 13
4 Brøndby IF 7 16 7 +9 11
5 Midtjylland W 6 12 4 +8 14
6 KoldingQ 7 11 22 -11 6
7 ASA Aarhus W 7 10 15 -5 9
8 FC Copenhagen W 7 9 23 -14 6
9 AGF Aarhus 7 6 19 -13 3
10 Odense Q 7 4 17 -13 6