Statistiche / Calcio / Danimarca. Kvindeliga Danese / Midtjylland W vs ASA Aarhus W

Midtjylland W vs ASA Aarhus W Statistics & Analysis

Aug 22, 2026 - 11:00
4 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 43%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 ASA Aarhus W Midtjylland W ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4215185

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Midtjylland W win · Midtjylland W 4–1 ASA Aarhus W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Kvindeliga Danese
  • Fixture: Midtjylland W vs ASA Aarhus W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Midtjylland W 1.28 — ASA Aarhus W 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Kvindeliga Danese Kvindeliga DaneseClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Køge 7 6 0 1 18
2 Midtjylland W 6 4 2 0 14
3 Nordsjælland 6 4 1 1 13
4 Fortuna Hjørring 7 4 1 2 13
5 Brøndby IF 7 3 2 2 11
6 ASA Aarhus W 7 3 0 4 9
7 KoldingQ 7 2 0 5 6
8 Odense Q 7 2 0 5 6
9 FC Copenhagen W 7 2 0 5 6
10 AGF Aarhus 7 1 0 6 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nordsjælland 6 23 8 +15 13
2 Køge 7 20 8 +12 18
3 Fortuna Hjørring 7 19 7 +12 13
4 Brøndby IF 7 16 7 +9 11
5 Midtjylland W 6 12 4 +8 14
6 KoldingQ 7 11 22 -11 6
7 ASA Aarhus W 7 10 15 -5 9
8 FC Copenhagen W 7 9 23 -14 6
9 AGF Aarhus 7 6 19 -13 3
10 Odense Q 7 4 17 -13 6