Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava Statistics & Analysis

Probiy Horodenka

Oct 10, 2026 - 10:30

3 1.23

2 1.37

xG Accuracy: 52%

SK Poltava

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 SK Poltava Probiy Horodenka ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13187508

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Probiy Horodenka win · Probiy Horodenka 3–2 SK Poltava

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Persha Liga Ucraina
Fixture: Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
xG (showing): Probiy Horodenka 1.23 — SK Poltava 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Persha Liga Ucraina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	11	6	3	2	21
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	11	6	2	3	20
3	Oleksandria	10	5	4	1	19
4	SK Poltava	11	5	3	3	18
5	Kulykiv	10	5	2	3	17
6	Prykarpattia	10	4	3	3	15
7	Yarud Mariupol'	10	4	3	3	15
8	Metal Kharkiv	11	4	3	4	15
9	Inhulets	10	4	2	4	14
10	Lokomotiv Kyiv	10	3	4	3	13
11	Kolos Kovalivka II	10	4	0	6	12
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	11
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	10
14	Probiy Horodenka	11	2	2	7	8
15	Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	7
16	Polissya II	10	1	4	5	7

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kulykiv	10	20	11	+9	17
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	11	20	15	+5	20
3	SK Poltava	11	18	10	+8	18
4	Oleksandria	10	15	7	+8	19
5	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	11	14	8	+6	21
6	UCSA	10	14	17	-3	10
7	Polissya II	10	14	20	-6	7
8	Metal Kharkiv	11	13	13	0	15
9	Prykarpattia	10	12	9	+3	15
10	Yarud Mariupol'	10	12	11	+1	15
11	Lokomotiv Kyiv	10	12	12	0	13
12	Inhulets	10	11	14	-3	14
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	10	11	17	-6	12
14	Probiy Horodenka	11	11	29	-18	8
15	Chernihiv	9	10	14	-4	7
16	Nyva Ternopil	10	9	9	0	11