Polissya II vs Metal Kharkiv Statistics & Analysis

Polissya II

Aug 09, 2026 - 09:00

0 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 64%

Metal Kharkiv

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Polissya II Metal Kharkiv ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 01:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2966555

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Metal Kharkiv win · Polissya II 0–1 Metal Kharkiv

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Persha Liga Ucraina
Fixture: Polissya II vs Metal Kharkiv
Kickoff: 2026-08-09 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Polissya II 1.35 — Metal Kharkiv 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Persha Liga Ucraina — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Kulykiv	9	5	2	2	17
2	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	9	5	2	2	17
3	Oleksandria	9	4	4	1	16
4	SK Poltava	9	4	3	2	15
5	Prykarpattia	9	4	2	3	14
6	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	9	4	2	3	14
7	Yarud Mariupol'	9	4	2	3	14
8	Inhulets	8	4	2	2	14
9	Metal Kharkiv	9	4	1	4	13
10	Lokomotiv Kyiv	9	3	3	3	12
11	Nyva Ternopil	9	2	4	3	10
12	UCSA	9	2	4	3	10
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	8	3	0	5	9
14	Chernihiv	8	1	4	3	7
15	Polissya II	8	1	3	4	6
16	Probiy Horodenka	9	0	2	7	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kulykiv	9	19	9	+10	17
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	9	14	12	+2	14
3	SK Poltava	9	13	5	+8	15
4	Oleksandria	9	13	7	+6	16
5	Prykarpattia	9	12	9	+3	14
6	Yarud Mariupol'	9	12	11	+1	14
7	UCSA	9	12	14	-2	10
8	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	9	11	6	+5	17
9	Metal Kharkiv	9	11	11	0	13
10	Polissya II	8	11	14	-3	6
11	Inhulets	8	10	10	0	14
12	Lokomotiv Kyiv	9	9	9	0	12
13	Nyva Ternopil	9	9	9	0	10
14	Chernihiv	8	8	11	-3	7
15	Kolos Kovalivka II	8	8	15	-7	9
16	Probiy Horodenka	9	6	26	-20	2