Van vs Gandzasar Statistics & Analysis

Van

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.43

0 1.17

xG Accuracy: 62%

Gandzasar

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Van Van ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13197181

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Van win · Van 2–0 Gandzasar

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League Armenia
Fixture: Van vs Gandzasar
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Van 1.43 — Gandzasar 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +4.8 pts · Est. EV: +5.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Armenia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	FC Noah	8	8	0	0	24
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	19
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	5	3	0	18
4	Alashkert	8	4	3	1	15
5	Sardarapat	8	3	3	2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	3	2	3	11
7	Shirak	8	3	1	4	10
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	9
9	BKMA	8	2	2	4	8
10	Van	8	1	1	6	4
11	Gandzasar	8	1	0	7	3
12	Syunik	8	0	2	6	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FC Noah	8	21	5	+16	24
2	Alashkert	8	18	6	+12	15
3	Pyunik Yerevan	8	18	8	+10	18
4	Ararat-Armenia	8	17	8	+9	19
5	Sardarapat	8	14	12	+2	12
6	FC Urartu	8	12	10	+2	11
7	Shirak	8	11	10	+1	10
8	BKMA	8	8	10	-2	8
9	Gandzasar	8	8	20	-12	3
10	Ararat	8	6	13	-7	9
11	Van	8	4	21	-17	4
12	Syunik	8	3	17	-14	2