Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Assia / Rot-Weiß Walldorf vs VfB Marburg

Rot-Weiß Walldorf vs VfB Marburg Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.40
0 1.20
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Rot-Weiß Walldorf Rot-Weiß Walldorf ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10096835

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rot-Weiß Walldorf win · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1–0 VfB Marburg
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Assia
  • Fixture: Rot-Weiß Walldorf vs VfB Marburg
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1.4 — VfB Marburg 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Assia Oberliga - Assia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 25
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 22
4 Friedberg 12 6 3 3 21
5 VfB Marburg 12 6 2 4 20
6 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20
7 Hünfelder SV 12 6 1 5 19
8 Darmstadt 98 II 12 5 3 4 18
9 TuBa Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 17
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 16
11 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 12 4 2 6 14
12 Kassel 12 4 2 6 14
13 Bayern Alzenau 12 3 4 5 13
14 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 12
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 8
17 1960 Hanau 11 1 4 6 7
18 FC Gießen 11 1 3 7 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf 12 35 11 +24 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 34 23 +11 25
3 Darmstadt 98 II 12 27 17 +10 18
4 Eddersheim 11 26 18 +8 22
5 Friedberg 12 25 19 +6 21
6 Hünfelder SV 12 21 19 +2 19
7 Hadamar 11 20 18 +2 20
8 Fernwald 12 20 18 +2 16
9 Rot-Weiß Walldorf 12 19 26 -7 14
10 TuBa Pohlheim 11 18 19 -1 17
11 1960 Hanau 11 18 29 -11 7
12 VfB Marburg 12 17 14 +3 20
13 Hummetroth 11 16 24 -8 9
14 Bayern Alzenau 12 14 18 -4 13
15 Baunatal 11 14 19 -5 12
16 FC Gießen 11 14 29 -15 6
17 Kassel 2 11 12 18 -6 8
18 Kassel 12 12 23 -11 14