Fernwald vs Hünfelder SV Statistics & Analysis

Fernwald

Aug 15, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.36

3 1.24

xG Accuracy: 56%

Hünfelder SV

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Fernwald Hünfelder SV ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3348648

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hünfelder SV win · Fernwald 1–3 Hünfelder SV

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Assia
Fixture: Fernwald vs Hünfelder SV
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Fernwald 1.36 — Hünfelder SV 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Assia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Unter-Flockenbach	11	8	1	2	25
2	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	11	7	2	2	23
3	Eddersheim	11	6	4	1	22
4	Friedberg	11	6	3	2	21
5	Hadamar	11	6	2	3	20
6	Hünfelder SV	11	6	1	4	19
7	VfB Marburg	10	5	2	3	17
8	TuBa Pohlheim	11	5	2	4	17
9	Darmstadt 98 II	11	4	3	4	15
10	Fernwald	11	3	6	2	15
11	Kassel	10	4	1	5	13
12	Baunatal	11	3	3	5	12
13	Bayern Alzenau	11	2	4	5	10
14	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	10	3	1	6	10
15	Hummetroth	11	2	3	6	9
16	Kassel 2	11	2	2	7	8
17	1960 Hanau	10	1	3	6	6
18	FC Gießen	11	1	3	7	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Unter-Flockenbach	11	34	20	+14	25
2	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	11	33	10	+23	23
3	Eddersheim	11	26	18	+8	22
4	Friedberg	11	24	17	+7	21
5	Darmstadt 98 II	11	24	17	+7	15
6	Hünfelder SV	11	21	16	+5	19
7	Hadamar	11	20	18	+2	20
8	Fernwald	11	18	16	+2	15
9	TuBa Pohlheim	11	18	19	-1	17
10	1960 Hanau	10	18	29	-11	6
11	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	10	16	24	-8	10
12	Hummetroth	11	16	24	-8	9
13	VfB Marburg	10	15	13	+2	17
14	Baunatal	11	14	19	-5	12
15	FC Gießen	11	14	29	-15	6
16	Kassel 2	11	12	18	-6	8
17	Kassel	10	12	21	-9	13
18	Bayern Alzenau	11	11	18	-7	10