Hadamar vs Baunatal Statistics & Analysis

Hadamar

Jul 31, 2026 - 17:30

2 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 76%

Baunatal

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Baunatal Hadamar ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 04:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1675719

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hadamar win · Hadamar 2–1 Baunatal

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Assia
Fixture: Hadamar vs Baunatal
Kickoff: 2026-07-31 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Hadamar 1.29 — Baunatal 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Assia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Unter-Flockenbach	9	7	1	1	22
2	Eddersheim	9	5	3	1	18
3	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	9	5	2	2	17
4	TuBa Pohlheim	9	5	2	2	17
5	VfB Marburg	9	5	2	2	17
6	Hadamar	9	5	2	2	17
7	Hünfelder SV	9	5	1	3	16
8	Darmstadt 98 II	9	4	3	2	15
9	Friedberg	9	4	3	2	15
10	Fernwald	9	3	4	2	13
11	Kassel	9	3	1	5	10
12	Kassel 2	9	2	2	5	8
13	Baunatal	9	2	2	5	8
14	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	9	2	1	6	7
15	1960 Hanau	9	1	3	5	6
16	FC Gießen	9	1	3	5	6
17	Bayern Alzenau	9	1	3	5	6
18	Hummetroth	9	1	2	6	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Unter-Flockenbach	9	29	12	+17	22
2	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	9	24	8	+16	17
3	Eddersheim	9	23	17	+6	18
4	Darmstadt 98 II	9	22	12	+10	15
5	Hadamar	9	18	16	+2	17
6	Hünfelder SV	9	17	13	+4	16
7	TuBa Pohlheim	9	17	14	+3	17
8	Friedberg	9	17	17	0	15
9	Fernwald	9	16	14	+2	13
10	1960 Hanau	9	16	24	-8	6
11	VfB Marburg	9	14	11	+3	17
12	FC Gießen	9	13	21	-8	6
13	Kassel 2	9	12	15	-3	8
14	Hummetroth	9	12	21	-9	5
15	Baunatal	9	11	17	-6	8
16	Kassel	9	11	21	-10	10
17	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	9	11	22	-11	7
18	Bayern Alzenau	9	8	16	-8	6