FC Fleury 91 W vs Paris Saint-Germain Femminile Statistics & Analysis

FC Fleury 91 W

Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00

1 0.73

3 1.02

xG Accuracy: 54%

Paris Saint-Germain Femminile

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Paris Saint-Germain Femminile Paris Saint-Germain Femminile ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11667240

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Paris Saint-Germain Femminile win · FC Fleury 91 W 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain Femminile

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Division 1 Féminine
Fixture: FC Fleury 91 W vs Paris Saint-Germain Femminile
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 23.8% · Draw 36.3% · Away 39.8%
xG (showing): FC Fleury 91 W 0.73 — Paris Saint-Germain Femminile 1.02 (total xG ≈ 1.75)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 1 Féminine — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Lione W	4	4	0	0	12
2	Paris Saint-Germain Femminile	4	4	0	0	12
3	Paris FC Femminile	4	3	0	1	9
4	Marsiglia W	4	2	2	0	8
5	Le Havre W	4	2	0	2	6
6	Montpellier W	4	1	2	1	5
7	Strasburgo Femminile	4	1	1	2	4
8	FC Fleury 91 W	4	1	1	2	4
9	Saint-Malo Femminile	4	1	0	3	3
10	Nantes W	4	0	2	2	2
11	Lens W	4	0	1	3	1
12	Tolosa Femminile	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Lione W	4	27	3	+24	12
2	Paris FC Femminile	4	9	8	+1	9
3	Paris Saint-Germain Femminile	4	8	1	+7	12
4	Montpellier W	4	6	3	+3	5
5	Marsiglia W	4	6	4	+2	8
6	Strasburgo Femminile	4	6	9	-3	4
7	Le Havre W	4	5	10	-5	6
8	FC Fleury 91 W	4	5	11	-6	4
9	Lens W	4	4	10	-6	1
10	Tolosa Femminile	4	4	14	-10	1
11	Saint-Malo Femminile	4	3	7	-4	3
12	Nantes W	4	2	5	-3	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Lione W	4	1.4	0.3	+1.1	12
2	FC Fleury 91 W	4	0.3	1.4	-1.1	4
3	Paris Saint-Germain Femminile	4	—	—	—	12
4	Paris FC Femminile	4	—	—	—	9
5	Marsiglia W	4	—	—	—	8
6	Le Havre W	4	—	—	—	6
7	Montpellier W	4	—	—	—	5
8	Strasburgo Femminile	4	—	—	—	4
9	Saint-Malo Femminile	4	—	—	—	3
10	Nantes W	4	—	—	—	2
11	Lens W	4	—	—	—	1
12	Tolosa Femminile	4	—	—	—	1