Statistiche / Calcio / Galles. FAW Championship / Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC

Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC Statistics & Analysis

Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 74%
Newtown AFC Newtown AFC
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Mold Alexandra Newtown AFC ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11237526

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Newtown AFC win · Mold Alexandra 1–2 Newtown AFC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: FAW Championship
  • Fixture: Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Mold Alexandra 1.36 — Newtown AFC 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.6% · Probability edge: +9.2 pts · Est. EV: +16.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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FAW Championship FAW Championship — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Swansea University 8 6 2 0 20
2 Aberystwyth Town 8 6 1 1 19
3 Pontypridd Town 9 6 1 2 19
4 Caerau (Ely) 9 5 1 3 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 13
8 Treowen Stars 9 4 1 4 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 10
11 Pontardawe Town 8 3 0 5 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 8
14 Caerphilly Athletic 9 2 2 5 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7
16 Llanelli AFC 10 0 2 8 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Swansea University 8 25 6 +19 20
2 Pontypridd Town 9 23 16 +7 19
3 Aberystwyth Town 8 22 8 +14 19
4 Caerau (Ely) 9 21 18 +3 16
5 Carmarthen Town 9 20 19 +1 14
6 Treowen Stars 9 18 18 0 13
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 17 17 0 10
8 Pontardawe Town 8 14 16 -2 9
9 Afan Lido 10 13 17 -4 11
10 Baglan Dragons 10 11 11 0 16
11 Newport City 7 10 6 +4 8
12 Ynyshir Albions 8 9 7 +2 13
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 9 12 -3 8
14 Caerphilly Athletic 9 9 17 -8 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 7 20 -13 7
16 Llanelli AFC 10 7 27 -20 2