Atlético Mineiro Under 20 vs Nacional de Muriaé U20 Statistics & Analysis

Atlético Mineiro Under 20

Sep 19, 2026 - 18:00

4 1.45

2 1.15

xG Accuracy: 39%

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Nacional de Muriaé U20

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Atlético Mineiro Under 20 Atlético Mineiro Under 20 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8707068

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Atlético Mineiro Under 20 win · Atlético Mineiro Under 20 4–2 Nacional de Muriaé U20

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Mineiro U20 Brasile
Fixture: Atlético Mineiro Under 20 vs Nacional de Muriaé U20
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Atlético Mineiro Under 20 1.45 — Nacional de Muriaé U20 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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