Statistiche / Calcio / Belgio. Prima Divisione Amatoriale / Harelbeke vs Thes Sport

Harelbeke vs Thes Sport Statistics & Analysis

Harelbeke Harelbeke
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Thes Sport Thes Sport
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Harelbeke Harelbeke ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13206840

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Harelbeke win · Harelbeke 1–0 Thes Sport
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Prima Divisione Amatoriale
  • Fixture: Harelbeke vs Thes Sport
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Harelbeke 1.3 — Thes Sport 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.4% · Probability edge: +11.4 pts · Est. EV: +26.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Prima Divisione Amatoriale Prima Divisione Amatoriale — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 RWDM 8 6 1 1 19
2 Rochefort 8 5 2 1 17
3 Meux 8 5 1 2 16
4 Tubize 8 4 2 2 14
5 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 3 2 2 11
6 Albert Quévy-Mons 7 3 1 3 10
7 Sporting Charleroi II 8 2 4 2 10
8 Olympic Charleroi 8 2 3 3 9
9 Standard Liège II 7 2 1 4 7
10 Onhaye 7 2 0 5 6
11 Habay-la-Neuve 7 1 2 4 5
12 Flénu 7 0 1 6 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Rochefort 8 17 7 +10 17
2 Albert Quévy-Mons 7 16 13 +3 10
3 Meux 8 15 8 +7 16
4 RWDM 8 13 7 +6 19
5 Tubize 8 11 10 +1 14
6 Union Saint-Gilloise II 7 10 8 +2 11
7 Olympic Charleroi 8 10 17 -7 9
8 Sporting Charleroi II 8 9 8 +1 10
9 Onhaye 7 9 16 -7 6
10 Standard Liège II 7 8 6 +2 7
11 Flénu 7 8 21 -13 1
12 Habay-la-Neuve 7 5 10 -5 5