Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke Statistics & Analysis

Dessel Sport

Oct 03, 2026 - 17:30

4 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 34%

Harelbeke

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Dessel Sport Dessel Sport ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11257142

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Dessel Sport win · Dessel Sport 4–0 Harelbeke

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Prima Divisione Amatoriale
Fixture: Dessel Sport vs Harelbeke
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Dessel Sport 1.32 — Harelbeke 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Prima Divisione Amatoriale — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	RWDM	8	6	1	1	19
2	Rochefort	8	5	2	1	17
3	Meux	8	5	1	2	16
4	Tubize	8	4	2	2	14
5	Union Saint-Gilloise II	7	3	2	2	11
6	Albert Quévy-Mons	7	3	1	3	10
7	Sporting Charleroi II	8	2	4	2	10
8	Olympic Charleroi	8	2	3	3	9
9	Standard Liège II	7	2	1	4	7
10	Onhaye	7	2	0	5	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	7	1	2	4	5
12	Flénu	7	0	1	6	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rochefort	8	17	7	+10	17
2	Albert Quévy-Mons	7	16	13	+3	10
3	Meux	8	15	8	+7	16
4	RWDM	8	13	7	+6	19
5	Tubize	8	11	10	+1	14
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	7	10	8	+2	11
7	Olympic Charleroi	8	10	17	-7	9
8	Sporting Charleroi II	8	9	8	+1	10
9	Onhaye	7	9	16	-7	6
10	Standard Liège II	7	8	6	+2	7
11	Flénu	7	8	21	-13	1
12	Habay-la-Neuve	7	5	10	-5	5