Statistiche / Calcio / Paesi Bassi. Tweede Divisie / Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II

Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II Statistics & Analysis

Barendrecht Barendrecht
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 52%
Sparta Rotterdam II Sparta Rotterdam II
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Barendrecht Barendrecht ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11232826

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Barendrecht win · Barendrecht 3–2 Sparta Rotterdam II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tweede Divisie
  • Fixture: Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Barendrecht 1.3 — Sparta Rotterdam II 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 26.1% · Probability edge: +25.7 pts · Est. EV: +91.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Tweede Divisie Tweede Divisie — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Quick Boys 7 6 0 1 18
2 De Treffers 7 4 3 0 15
3 Kozakken Boys 7 4 2 1 14
4 Ijsselmeervogels 6 4 1 1 13
5 Sparta Rotterdam II 7 3 3 1 12
6 HHC 7 3 2 2 11
7 Barendrecht 7 3 2 2 11
8 Katwijk 7 3 2 2 11
9 AFC Amsterdam 7 3 1 3 10
10 Spakenburg 7 3 1 3 10
11 RKAV Volendam 7 2 3 2 9
12 Rijnsburgse Boys 7 2 1 4 7
13 GVVV Veenendaal 6 2 0 4 6
14 Koninklijke HFC 7 1 3 3 6
15 Hoek 7 1 3 3 6
16 Kloetinge 7 1 3 3 6
17 Almere City II 7 1 1 5 4
18 ROHDA Raalte 7 0 1 6 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sparta Rotterdam II 7 21 12 +9 12
2 Quick Boys 7 19 4 +15 18
3 De Treffers 7 19 6 +13 15
4 Kozakken Boys 7 18 11 +7 14
5 HHC 7 13 11 +2 11
6 Barendrecht 7 12 10 +2 11
7 AFC Amsterdam 7 11 12 -1 10
8 GVVV Veenendaal 6 11 16 -5 6
9 Almere City II 7 11 16 -5 4
10 Rijnsburgse Boys 7 11 21 -10 7
11 Katwijk 7 10 8 +2 11
12 Kloetinge 7 10 17 -7 6
13 Ijsselmeervogels 6 9 3 +6 13
14 Spakenburg 7 9 11 -2 10
15 RKAV Volendam 7 9 13 -4 9
16 Koninklijke HFC 7 9 13 -4 6
17 Hoek 7 8 12 -4 6
18 ROHDA Raalte 7 6 20 -14 1
Tweede Divisie Paesi Bassi. Tweede Divisie Pronostici