Opava II vs Stonava Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 08:15
4 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 44%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Stonava Opava II ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13183982

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Opava II win · Opava II 4–1 Stonava
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca
  • Fixture: Opava II vs Stonava
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Opava II 1.29 — Stonava 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie F Ceca 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Kravare 10 8 1 1 25
2 Bospor Bohumín 9 8 0 1 24
3 Vratimov 9 7 0 2 21
4 Hlučín 10 6 1 3 19
5 Stonava 10 5 2 3 17
6 Opava II 10 5 1 4 16
7 Jiskra Rýmařov 10 4 2 4 14
8 Nový Jičín 10 4 2 4 14
9 Valašské Meziříčí 9 3 3 3 12
10 Zábřeh 9 3 2 4 11
11 Pustá Polom 9 3 1 5 10
12 Břidličná 10 3 1 6 10
13 Frydek-Mistek B 9 3 0 6 9
14 Šumperk 9 2 2 5 8
15 Bílovec 9 1 2 6 5
16 Frýdlant 10 1 0 9 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bospor Bohumín 9 33 11 +22 24
2 Kravare 10 27 12 +15 25
3 Jiskra Rýmařov 10 22 18 +4 14
4 Opava II 10 22 19 +3 16
5 Stonava 10 21 16 +5 17
6 Valašské Meziříčí 9 21 17 +4 12
7 Hlučín 10 20 15 +5 19
8 Vratimov 9 19 12 +7 21
9 Nový Jičín 10 18 21 -3 14
10 Frydek-Mistek B 9 16 21 -5 9
11 Břidličná 10 14 22 -8 10
12 Pustá Polom 9 13 18 -5 10
13 Šumperk 9 12 15 -3 8
14 Zábřeh 9 11 12 -1 11
15 Frýdlant 10 11 38 -27 3
16 Bílovec 9 5 18 -13 5