Hlučín vs Bílovec Statistics & Analysis

Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Bílovec Hlučín ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5913200

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hlučín win · Hlučín 1–0 Bílovec
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca
  • Fixture: Hlučín vs Bílovec
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Hlučín 1.29 — Bílovec 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie F Ceca 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bospor Bohumín 7 7 0 0 21
2 Hlučín 8 6 0 2 18
3 Kravare 7 5 1 1 16
4 Vratimov 7 5 0 2 15
5 Stonava 8 4 2 2 14
6 Jiskra Rýmařov 7 4 1 2 13
7 Opava II 8 4 1 3 13
8 Nový Jičín 7 4 1 2 13
9 Zábřeh 7 3 1 3 10
10 Valašské Meziříčí 8 2 3 3 9
11 Šumperk 7 2 1 4 7
12 Pustá Polom 7 2 1 4 7
13 Frydek-Mistek B 8 2 0 6 6
14 Břidličná 7 1 1 5 4
15 Bílovec 7 1 1 5 4
16 Frýdlant 8 0 0 8 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bospor Bohumín 7 27 7 +20 21
2 Hlučín 8 19 11 +8 18
3 Kravare 7 19 11 +8 16
4 Jiskra Rýmařov 7 18 10 +8 13
5 Opava II 8 18 15 +3 13
6 Valašské Meziříčí 8 18 17 +1 9
7 Stonava 8 16 11 +5 14
8 Nový Jičín 7 15 13 +2 13
9 Vratimov 7 14 9 +5 15
10 Frydek-Mistek B 8 14 20 -6 6
11 Šumperk 7 10 12 -2 7
12 Pustá Polom 7 9 14 -5 7
13 Břidličná 7 9 18 -9 4
14 Zábřeh 7 8 8 0 10
15 Frýdlant 8 7 34 -27 0
16 Bílovec 7 4 15 -11 4