Bzenec vs Strání Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.30
6 1.30
xG Accuracy: 17%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Bzenec Strání ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8684126

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Strání win · Bzenec 3–6 Strání
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie E Ceca
  • Fixture: Bzenec vs Strání
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Bzenec 1.3 — Strání 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie E Ceca 4. liga - Divizie E Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Strání 7 6 1 0 19
2 Kozlovice 7 6 1 0 19
3 Tatran Všechovice 7 6 0 1 18
4 SK Krumvir 7 6 0 1 18
5 Břeclav 7 4 1 2 13
6 Hluk 7 3 3 1 12
7 Sokol Lanžhot 7 4 0 3 12
8 Slavičín 7 3 1 3 10
9 Holešov 7 2 3 2 9
10 Prostějov B 7 2 3 2 9
11 Šternberk 7 2 1 4 7
12 Kroměříž II 7 1 2 4 5
13 Brumov 7 1 1 5 4
14 Nové Sady 8 1 1 6 4
15 Bzenec 7 1 0 6 3
16 Baťov 8 0 0 8 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Strání 7 29 11 +18 19
2 Tatran Všechovice 7 26 8 +18 18
3 Kozlovice 7 21 6 +15 19
4 Hluk 7 20 11 +9 12
5 SK Krumvir 7 15 7 +8 18
6 Holešov 7 14 11 +3 9
7 Prostějov B 7 14 15 -1 9
8 Šternberk 7 14 15 -1 7
9 Břeclav 7 13 8 +5 13
10 Slavičín 7 13 13 0 10
11 Sokol Lanžhot 7 12 11 +1 12
12 Bzenec 7 12 27 -15 3
13 Brumov 7 11 25 -14 4
14 Nové Sady 8 10 33 -23 4
15 Kroměříž II 7 7 13 -6 5
16 Baťov 8 7 24 -17 0