Statistiche / Calcio / Repubblica Ceca. 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca / Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec

Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec Statistics & Analysis

Žďár nad Sázavou Žďár nad Sázavou
Sep 20, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 80%
Humpolec Humpolec
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Humpolec Humpolec ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8677495

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Humpolec win · Žďár nad Sázavou 1–2 Humpolec
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca
  • Fixture: Žďár nad Sázavou vs Humpolec
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Žďár nad Sázavou 1.21 — Humpolec 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie D Ceca 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tatran Bohunice 9 5 2 2 17
2 Kuřim 9 5 1 3 16
3 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 16
4 FS Třebíč 9 5 1 3 16
5 Znojmo 8 4 3 1 15
6 Velká Bíteš 8 4 3 1 15
7 Pelhřimov 9 4 2 3 14
8 Havlíčkův Brod 8 4 1 3 13
9 Sokol Tasovice 8 2 5 1 11
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 2 4 3 10
11 Chotebor 8 2 3 3 9
12 Velké Meziříčí 9 2 3 4 9
13 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 2 2 4 8
14 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 8
15 Humpolec 8 1 3 4 6
16 Bedrichov 8 0 2 6 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Kuřim 9 25 13 +12 16
2 Tatran Bohunice 9 21 9 +12 17
3 Pelhřimov 9 21 13 +8 14
4 Znojmo 8 17 8 +9 15
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 15 11 +4 13
6 Sparta Brno 9 14 13 +1 16
7 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 14 15 -1 8
8 Ždírec nad Doubravou 9 14 21 -7 8
9 Sokol Tasovice 8 13 9 +4 11
10 Bystrc Kníničky 9 12 13 -1 10
11 FS Třebíč 9 11 15 -4 16
12 Velké Meziříčí 9 10 20 -10 9
13 Velká Bíteš 8 9 7 +2 15
14 Chotebor 8 9 16 -7 9
15 Humpolec 8 6 10 -4 6
16 Bedrichov 8 6 24 -18 2
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