Statistiche / Calcio / Repubblica Ceca. 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca / Chotebor vs Znojmo

Chotebor vs Znojmo Statistics & Analysis

Chotebor Chotebor
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
4 1.19
2 1.41
xG Accuracy: 39%
Znojmo Znojmo
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Znojmo Chotebor ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8684055

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Chotebor win · Chotebor 4–2 Znojmo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca
  • Fixture: Chotebor vs Znojmo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Chotebor 1.19 — Znojmo 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie D Ceca 4. liga - Divizie D Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tatran Bohunice 8 5 2 1 17
2 Znojmo 7 4 2 1 14
3 Velká Bíteš 7 4 2 1 14
4 Kuřim 7 4 1 2 13
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 4 1 3 13
6 Sparta Brno 8 4 1 3 13
7 FS Třebíč 7 4 0 3 12
8 Pelhřimov 7 3 2 2 11
9 Sokol Tasovice 7 2 4 1 10
10 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 2 2 4 8
11 Chotebor 7 2 2 3 8
12 Bystrc Kníničky 7 1 4 2 7
13 Velké Meziříčí 7 1 3 3 6
14 Humpolec 7 1 2 4 5
15 Ždírec nad Doubravou 7 1 2 4 5
16 Bedrichov 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Tatran Bohunice 8 21 8 +13 17
2 Kuřim 7 20 9 +11 13
3 Znojmo 7 16 7 +9 14
4 Pelhřimov 7 16 9 +7 11
5 Havlíčkův Brod 8 15 11 +4 13
6 Žďár nad Sázavou 8 14 15 -1 8
7 Sokol Tasovice 7 12 8 +4 10
8 Sparta Brno 8 11 12 -1 13
9 Ždírec nad Doubravou 7 10 16 -6 5
10 FS Třebíč 7 9 14 -5 12
11 Chotebor 7 9 16 -7 8
12 Velká Bíteš 7 8 6 +2 14
13 Bystrc Kníničky 7 8 9 -1 7
14 Velké Meziříčí 7 8 16 -8 6
15 Humpolec 7 6 10 -4 5
16 Bedrichov 7 5 22 -17 2
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