Statistiche / Calcio / Danimarca. 3. Division Danese / Holstebro vs Brønshøj BK

Holstebro vs Brønshøj BK Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:30
2 1.31
4 1.29
xG Accuracy: 39%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Holstebro Brønshøj BK ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13203958

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brønshøj BK win · Holstebro 2–4 Brønshøj BK
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Division Danese
  • Fixture: Holstebro vs Brønshøj BK
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Holstebro 1.31 — Brønshøj BK 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.3% · Probability edge: +11.5 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division Danese 3. Division Danese — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Holbæk B&I 11 7 2 2 23
2 Brønshøj BK 11 6 4 1 22
3 Vanløse 11 5 5 1 20
4 FC Helsingør 11 6 2 3 20
5 Næsby 11 5 2 4 17
6 ASA Aarhus 11 5 1 5 16
7 Hørsholm-Usserød 11 4 3 4 15
8 Holstebro 11 4 1 6 13
9 Frem 11 3 3 5 12
10 Ishøj 11 3 2 6 11
11 Sundby 11 3 1 7 10
12 Ringsted 11 1 2 8 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Holbæk B&I 11 26 18 +8 23
2 Hørsholm-Usserød 11 24 21 +3 15
3 Brønshøj BK 11 22 12 +10 22
4 FC Helsingør 11 20 15 +5 20
5 Næsby 11 20 16 +4 17
6 Frem 11 19 19 0 12
7 Holstebro 11 18 26 -8 13
8 Vanløse 11 16 9 +7 20
9 Sundby 11 16 19 -3 10
10 ASA Aarhus 11 15 16 -1 16
11 Ringsted 11 15 31 -16 5
12 Ishøj 11 12 21 -9 11