Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus Statistics & Analysis

Holbæk B&I

Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00

2 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 78%

ASA Aarhus

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Holbæk B&I Holbæk B&I ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11221604

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Holbæk B&I win · Holbæk B&I 2–1 ASA Aarhus

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 3. Division Danese
Fixture: Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Holbæk B&I 1.36 — ASA Aarhus 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. Division Danese — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Holbæk B&I	9	6	1	2	19
2	Brønshøj BK	9	5	3	1	18
3	FC Helsingør	9	5	2	2	17
4	Vanløse	9	4	4	1	16
5	ASA Aarhus	9	5	1	3	16
6	Næsby	9	4	2	3	14
7	Holstebro	9	4	1	4	13
8	Sundby	9	3	1	5	10
9	Hørsholm-Usserød	9	2	3	4	9
10	Frem	9	2	2	5	8
11	Ishøj	9	2	1	6	7
12	Ringsted	9	1	1	7	4

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Holbæk B&I	9	24	17	+7	19
2	Brønshøj BK	9	17	9	+8	18
3	FC Helsingør	9	17	11	+6	17
4	Hørsholm-Usserød	9	17	18	-1	9
5	Næsby	9	16	14	+2	14
6	Holstebro	9	16	18	-2	13
7	Frem	9	16	18	-2	8
8	Vanløse	9	15	9	+6	16
9	Sundby	9	14	15	-1	10
10	ASA Aarhus	9	13	12	+1	16
11	Ringsted	9	11	25	-14	4
12	Ishøj	9	7	17	-10	7