Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Nordost-Süd / VfL Halle vs Empor Glauchau

VfL Halle vs Empor Glauchau Statistics & Analysis

Aug 30, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 79%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 VfL Halle VfL Halle ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5290452

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result VfL Halle win · VfL Halle 2–1 Empor Glauchau
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
  • Fixture: VfL Halle vs Empor Glauchau
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): VfL Halle 1.37 — Empor Glauchau 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Oberliga - Nordost-SüdClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Germania Halberstadt 3 3 0 0 9
2 ZFC Meuselwitz 3 3 0 0 9
3 Eilenburg 3 2 1 0 7
4 Union Sandersdorf 3 2 0 1 6
5 Weissenfels 3 2 0 1 6
6 Auerbach 3 2 0 1 6
7 VfL Halle 3 2 0 1 6
8 VfB Plauen 3 1 1 1 4
9 Dresden II 2 1 1 0 4
10 Einheit Wernigerode 3 1 1 1 4
11 SC Freital 3 1 0 2 3
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 2 0 1 1 1
13 Budissa Bautzen 3 0 1 2 1
14 Empor Glauchau 3 0 0 3 0
15 Krieschow 3 0 0 3 0
16 FC Frankfurt 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Germania Halberstadt 3 12 2 +10 9
2 Union Sandersdorf 3 11 2 +9 6
3 Eilenburg 3 9 4 +5 7
4 ZFC Meuselwitz 3 6 2 +4 9
5 Weissenfels 3 6 3 +3 6
6 Einheit Wernigerode 3 6 6 0 4
7 Auerbach 3 5 2 +3 6
8 VfB Plauen 3 5 4 +1 4
9 VfL Halle 3 5 5 0 6
10 SC Freital 3 5 6 -1 3
11 Dresden II 2 2 1 +1 4
12 Budissa Bautzen 3 2 8 -6 1
13 Empor Glauchau 3 2 8 -6 0
14 FC Frankfurt 3 2 15 -13 0
15 Einheit Rudolstadt 2 1 3 -2 1
16 Krieschow 3 1 9 -8 0