Auerbach vs VfB Plauen Statistics & Analysis

Auerbach

Aug 16, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.29

0 1.31

xG Accuracy: 64%

VfB Plauen

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 VfB Plauen Auerbach ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3602970

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Auerbach win · Auerbach 1–0 VfB Plauen

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Oberliga - Nordost-Süd
Fixture: Auerbach vs VfB Plauen
Kickoff: 2026-08-16 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Auerbach 1.29 — VfB Plauen 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Germania Halberstadt	5	5	0	0	15
2	ZFC Meuselwitz	5	5	0	0	15
3	Eilenburg	5	4	1	0	13
4	Dresden II	5	2	3	0	9
5	Weissenfels	5	3	0	2	9
6	VfL Halle	5	3	0	2	9
7	Auerbach	5	2	2	1	8
8	Union Sandersdorf	5	2	0	3	6
9	Einheit Wernigerode	5	1	3	1	6
10	VfB Plauen	5	1	2	2	5
11	SC Freital	5	1	2	2	5
12	Budissa Bautzen	5	1	2	2	5
13	Krieschow	5	1	0	4	3
14	Einheit Rudolstadt	5	0	2	3	2
15	Empor Glauchau	5	0	1	4	1
16	FC Frankfurt	5	0	0	5	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Germania Halberstadt	5	19	3	+16	15
2	Eilenburg	5	17	7	+10	13
3	ZFC Meuselwitz	5	12	4	+8	15
4	Union Sandersdorf	5	12	6	+6	6
5	VfL Halle	5	11	10	+1	9
6	Weissenfels	5	10	8	+2	9
7	Dresden II	5	9	4	+5	9
8	Einheit Wernigerode	5	9	9	0	6
9	Auerbach	5	8	5	+3	8
10	SC Freital	5	8	9	-1	5
11	VfB Plauen	5	7	7	0	5
12	Budissa Bautzen	5	7	12	-5	5
13	FC Frankfurt	5	6	23	-17	0
14	Empor Glauchau	5	5	12	-7	1
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	5	4	14	-10	2
16	Krieschow	5	4	15	-11	3