Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Nordost-Nord / FC Lok Stendal vs Optik Rathenow

FC Lok Stendal vs Optik Rathenow Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.30
4 1.30
xG Accuracy: 30%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 FC Lok Stendal Optik Rathenow ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10086740

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Optik Rathenow win · FC Lok Stendal 3–4 Optik Rathenow
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
  • Fixture: FC Lok Stendal vs Optik Rathenow
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): FC Lok Stendal 1.3 — Optik Rathenow 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Oberliga - Nordost-Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Berliner AK 07 6 4 2 0 14
2 Siedenbollentin 6 4 1 1 13
3 Lichtenberg 6 4 0 2 12
4 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 3 1 2 10
5 Optik Rathenow 6 3 1 2 10
6 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 3 0 3 9
7 Anker Wismar 6 3 0 3 9
8 Reinickendorfer Füchse 6 2 2 2 8
9 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 2 2 2 8
10 FC Lok Stendal 6 2 1 3 7
11 Union Klosterfelde 6 2 1 3 7
12 Tennis Borussia Berlino 6 1 3 2 6
13 Hansa Rostock II 5 1 2 2 5
14 Sparta Lichtenberg 6 1 2 3 5
15 Makkabi 5 1 2 2 5
16 TSG Neustrelitz 6 1 0 5 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Siedenbollentin 6 12 5 +7 13
2 Berliner AK 07 6 11 5 +6 14
3 FC Lok Stendal 6 10 12 -2 7
4 Lichtenberg 6 9 5 +4 12
5 Mecklenburg Schwerin 6 9 10 -1 8
6 TSG Neustrelitz 6 9 16 -7 3
7 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 8 6 +2 9
8 Optik Rathenow 6 8 8 0 10
9 Reinickendorfer Füchse 6 8 8 0 8
10 Hansa Rostock II 5 8 8 0 5
11 Anker Wismar 6 8 10 -2 9
12 Sparta Lichtenberg 6 8 10 -2 5
13 Eintracht Mahlsdorf 6 7 5 +2 10
14 Tennis Borussia Berlino 6 6 7 -1 6
15 Union Klosterfelde 6 6 10 -4 7
16 Makkabi 5 4 6 -2 5