Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar Statistics & Analysis

Făleşti

Aug 08, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.30

0 1.30

xG Accuracy: 64%

Victoria Bardar

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Făleşti Făleşti ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2823970

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Făleşti win · Făleşti 1–0 Victoria Bardar

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga 1 Moldova
Fixture: Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Făleşti 1.3 — Victoria Bardar 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga 1 Moldova — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Vulturii Cutezători	8	6	1	1	19
1	Oguzsport	7	4	2	1	14
2	Iskra-Stal	8	6	0	2	18
2	FC Stăuceni	6	3	1	2	10
3	FCM Ungheni	8	4	2	2	14
3	FC National Ialoveni	6	2	1	3	7
4	Univer Comrat	8	2	3	3	9
4	Floreşti	0	0	0	0	0
4	Făleşti	6	2	1	3	7
5	Zimbru II	8	2	1	5	7
5	Victoria Bardar	7	2	1	4	7
6	Spartanii Selemet	8	0	1	7	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Vulturii Cutezători	8	27	14	+13	19
2	FCM Ungheni	8	23	16	+7	14
3	Iskra-Stal	8	22	8	+14	18
4	Univer Comrat	8	17	17	0	9
5	Zimbru II	8	14	20	-6	7
6	FC Stăuceni	6	10	7	+3	10
7	Spartanii Selemet	8	10	38	-28	1
8	Oguzsport	7	8	3	+5	14
9	Victoria Bardar	7	7	12	-5	7
10	FC National Ialoveni	6	5	6	-1	7
11	Făleşti	6	4	6	-2	7
12	Floreşti	0	0	0	0	0