Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 vs Maricá U20 Statistics & Analysis

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20

Aug 15, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 85%

Maricá U20

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 03:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3365585

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 1–1 Maricá U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Carioca U20
Fixture: Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 vs Maricá U20
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 1.34 — Maricá U20 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Carioca U20 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Fluminense U20	8	7	1	0	22
2	Flamengo U20	8	7	0	1	21
3	Vasco da Gama U20	7	6	0	1	18
4	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	7	3	2	2	11
5	Botafogo U20	7	2	2	3	8
6	Boavista U20	7	2	2	3	8
7	Madureira U20	6	1	4	1	7
8	Bangu U20	7	2	1	4	7
9	Maricá U20	7	1	2	4	5
10	Nova Iguaçu U20	7	1	2	4	5
11	Portuguesa RJ U20	8	1	2	5	5
12	Volta Redonda U20	7	0	2	5	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Fluminense U20	8	22	6	+16	22
2	Flamengo U20	8	22	8	+14	21
3	Vasco da Gama U20	7	15	5	+10	18
4	Botafogo U20	7	10	10	0	8
5	Maricá U20	7	9	11	-2	5
6	Boavista U20	7	9	12	-3	8
7	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	7	9	13	-4	11
8	Madureira U20	6	7	9	-2	7
9	Nova Iguaçu U20	7	7	14	-7	5
10	Bangu U20	7	6	10	-4	7
11	Portuguesa RJ U20	8	4	11	-7	5
12	Volta Redonda U20	7	4	15	-11	2