Sturm Graz W vs SK Rapid W Statistics & Analysis

Sturm Graz W

Sep 18, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 61%

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SK Rapid W

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Sturm Graz W Sturm Graz W ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8204950

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sturm Graz W win · Sturm Graz W 2–0 SK Rapid W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Frauenliga Austriaca
Fixture: Sturm Graz W vs SK Rapid W
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Sturm Graz W 1.41 — SK Rapid W 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Frauenliga Austriaca — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	St. Pölten W	7	7	0	0	21
2	Sturm Graz W	7	6	1	0	19
3	Austria Vienna Donne	6	4	1	1	13
4	Rheindorf Altach	6	3	1	2	10
5	Salzburg W	8	3	1	4	10
6	LASK	8	2	2	4	8
7	First Vienna W	8	1	4	3	7
8	SK Rapid W	7	1	3	3	6
9	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz	8	1	1	6	4
10	Südburgenland W	7	0	2	5	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	St. Pölten W	7	25	2	+23	21
2	Sturm Graz W	7	20	4	+16	19
3	Austria Vienna Donne	6	17	2	+15	13
4	Rheindorf Altach	6	12	12	0	10
5	First Vienna W	8	11	17	-6	7
6	LASK	8	9	14	-5	8
7	SK Rapid W	7	8	11	-3	6
8	Salzburg W	8	6	14	-8	10
9	Südburgenland W	7	5	23	-18	2
10	Kleinmünchen / BW Linz	8	4	18	-14	4