Basel II vs Brühl Statistics & Analysis

Sep 05, 2026 - 13:30
3 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 43%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Brühl Basel II ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6141298

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Basel II win · Basel II 3–0 Brühl
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Promotion
  • Fixture: Basel II vs Brühl
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Basel II 1.25 — Brühl 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
1. Liga Promotion 1. Liga PromotionClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Biel-Bienne 7 5 1 1 16
2 Bulle 7 4 2 1 14
3 FC Sciaffusa 7 4 1 2 13
4 Cham 7 4 1 2 13
5 Grand-Saconnex 7 4 0 3 12
6 Brühl 7 3 2 2 11
7 Paradiso 6 3 1 2 10
8 Zürich II 6 3 1 2 10
9 Breitenrain 7 3 1 3 10
10 Young Boys II 7 3 1 3 10
11 Basel II 6 3 0 3 9
12 YF Juventus 7 3 0 4 9
13 Amical Saint-Prex 7 3 0 4 9
14 Bavois 7 2 2 3 8
15 Kreuzlingen 6 2 1 3 7
16 Lugano II 6 2 0 4 6
17 Luzern II 7 1 1 5 4
18 Bellinzona 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bulle 7 16 10 +6 14
2 Biel-Bienne 7 15 9 +6 16
3 Young Boys II 7 15 17 -2 10
4 Paradiso 6 14 7 +7 10
5 Grand-Saconnex 7 14 12 +2 12
6 Basel II 6 13 12 +1 9
7 FC Sciaffusa 7 12 9 +3 13
8 Cham 7 11 8 +3 13
9 Brühl 7 11 8 +3 11
10 YF Juventus 7 11 13 -2 9
11 Lugano II 6 11 18 -7 6
12 Bavois 7 10 8 +2 8
13 Breitenrain 7 10 9 +1 10
14 Zürich II 6 10 11 -1 10
15 Luzern II 7 10 13 -3 4
16 Amical Saint-Prex 7 8 16 -8 9
17 Kreuzlingen 6 6 8 -2 7
18 Bellinzona 6 3 12 -9 1