Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Oberwart Statistics & Analysis

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

Sep 25, 2026 - 17:00

0 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 64%

Oberwart

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Oberwart Oberwart ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9569022

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Oberwart win · Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 0–1 Oberwart

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga Ost Austria
Fixture: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Oberwart
Kickoff: 2026-09-25 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1.29 — Oberwart 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Ost Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	9	7	0	2	21
2	Wiener SC	9	6	1	2	19
3	Oberwart	9	6	0	3	18
4	Traiskirchen	9	5	2	2	17
5	Wiener Viktoria	9	5	1	3	16
6	Scheiblingkirchen	9	4	3	2	15
7	Parndorf	9	4	2	3	14
8	Fach-Donaufeld	9	4	2	3	14
9	SV Horn	9	3	2	4	11
10	Krems / Rehberg	9	3	2	4	11
11	Leobendorf	9	3	2	4	11
12	Mattersburg SV 2020	9	3	1	5	10
13	Donau	9	2	4	3	10
14	Favoritner AC	9	3	0	6	9
15	Gloggnitz	9	2	2	5	8
16	Wienerberg	9	0	0	9	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	9	25	9	+16	21
2	Traiskirchen	9	23	19	+4	17
3	Wiener SC	9	21	7	+14	19
4	Oberwart	9	18	12	+6	18
5	Wiener Viktoria	9	15	9	+6	16
6	Parndorf	9	15	13	+2	14
7	Scheiblingkirchen	9	15	16	-1	15
8	Donau	9	15	18	-3	10
9	SV Horn	9	13	12	+1	11
10	Krems / Rehberg	9	13	12	+1	11
11	Fach-Donaufeld	9	11	10	+1	14
12	Mattersburg SV 2020	9	11	13	-2	10
13	Gloggnitz	9	11	19	-8	8
14	Leobendorf	9	10	13	-3	11
15	Favoritner AC	9	6	12	-6	9
16	Wienerberg	9	6	34	-28	0