SV Horn vs Parndorf Statistics & Analysis

Sep 01, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Parndorf Parndorf ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 28, 2026 · 00:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5723738

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Parndorf win · SV Horn 0–1 Parndorf
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga Ost Austria
  • Fixture: SV Horn vs Parndorf
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-01 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): SV Horn 1.29 — Parndorf 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Regionalliga Ost Austria Regionalliga Ost AustriaClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 6 5 0 1 15
2 Wiener SC 6 4 1 1 13
3 Oberwart 6 4 0 2 12
4 Parndorf 6 3 2 1 11
5 Fach-Donaufeld 6 3 1 2 10
6 Scheiblingkirchen 6 3 1 2 10
7 Mattersburg SV 2020 6 3 0 3 9
8 Favoritner AC 6 3 0 3 9
9 SV Horn 6 2 2 2 8
10 Traiskirchen 5 2 2 1 8
11 Wiener Viktoria 6 2 1 3 7
12 Gloggnitz 6 2 1 3 7
13 Donau 6 1 3 2 6
14 Leobendorf 6 1 2 3 5
15 Krems / Rehberg 5 0 2 3 2
16 Wienerberg 6 0 0 6 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 6 19 6 +13 15
2 Oberwart 6 13 8 +5 12
3 Traiskirchen 5 13 12 +1 8
4 Parndorf 6 12 7 +5 11
5 Wiener SC 6 11 3 +8 13
6 Wiener Viktoria 6 10 9 +1 7
7 Gloggnitz 6 9 11 -2 7
8 Scheiblingkirchen 6 9 12 -3 10
9 Mattersburg SV 2020 6 8 6 +2 9
10 Donau 6 7 13 -6 6
11 Favoritner AC 6 6 4 +2 9
12 SV Horn 6 6 4 +2 8
13 Leobendorf 6 6 10 -4 5
14 Fach-Donaufeld 6 5 7 -2 10
15 Wienerberg 6 5 22 -17 0
16 Krems / Rehberg 5 4 9 -5 2