Hohenems vs Imst Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.22
0 1.38
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Imst Hohenems ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8697908

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hohenems win · Hohenems 2–0 Imst
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga West Austria
  • Fixture: Hohenems vs Imst
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Hohenems 1.22 — Imst 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Regionalliga West Austria Regionalliga West Austria — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Hohenems 8 7 0 1 21
2 Dornbirn 9 6 2 1 20
3 Imst 9 6 1 2 19
4 Schwaz 9 6 1 2 19
5 Kitzbühel 9 6 0 3 18
6 SK St. Johann 9 4 3 2 15
7 Swarovski Tirol II 8 4 1 3 13
8 Fügen 9 4 1 4 13
9 Röthis 8 3 3 2 12
10 SVG Reichenau 9 2 3 4 9
11 Kufstein 8 1 4 3 7
12 Lochau 9 2 1 6 7
13 Lauterach 9 1 3 5 6
14 Rheindorf Altach II 9 1 3 5 6
15 Lustenau 9 1 3 5 6
16 Wolfurt 9 1 1 7 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Dornbirn 9 23 8 +15 20
2 Hohenems 8 22 7 +15 21
3 Kitzbühel 9 21 12 +9 18
4 Schwaz 9 21 15 +6 19
5 Swarovski Tirol II 8 19 10 +9 13
6 Fügen 9 19 21 -2 13
7 Imst 9 15 6 +9 19
8 Lauterach 9 14 18 -4 6
9 Rheindorf Altach II 9 14 23 -9 6
10 SK St. Johann 9 13 10 +3 15
11 Röthis 8 13 14 -1 12
12 Lochau 9 12 25 -13 7
13 Wolfurt 9 12 26 -14 4
14 Kufstein 8 10 12 -2 7
15 SVG Reichenau 9 9 16 -7 9
16 Lustenau 9 8 22 -14 6